Bangladesh-India Trade & Defense Tensions

1. January 2025 – E-Cigarette Ban

   – Bangladesh bans vaping products to protect youth health

   – First sign of stricter trade policies under new leadership

2. February 2025 – Political Shift

   – Sheikh Hasina’s government falls

   – Muhammad Yunus becomes interim leader

   – Early signs of pro-China leanings emerge

3. March 2025 – Defense Deal Cancelled

   – Bangladesh scraps $21M naval tugboat contract with India’s GRSE(Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd)

   – First major defense snub to India under new government

4. April 2025 – Trade War Begins

   – Bangladesh bans Indian goods (yarn, paper, fish, ceramics)

   – Joins 2 new China-led BRI infrastructure projects

5. May 2025 – Escalation

   – India retaliates by blocking Bangladeshi goods via land routes

   – Bangladesh launches 800cr Taka (~$68M) startup fund

Bangladesh has cancelled an ₹800 crore defence deal, raising questions about future military cooperation and procurement decisions.

   – Yunus makes controversial “guardian of Bay” remarks- He even said India’s northeast is “landlocked” and needs Bangladesh—this upset India

   – Trade losses reach $770M for Bangladesh

Current Situation (May 2025):

– Trade war ongoing with no resolution in sight

– Political relations at lowest point in years

– China gaining influence through BRI projects

– Both economies feeling the strain of trade restrictions

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